Northwestern State Demons 72, Nicholls Colonels 74
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-05 · Winner: Nicholls Colonels
Nicholls Colonels defeated Northwestern State Demons 74–72 on 2026-01-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 3:37 swung win probability 38% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northwestern State Demons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern State Demons | 31 | 41 | 72 |
| Nicholls Colonels | 40 | 34 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 3:37 swung win probability 38% → 97%.
Why Northwestern State Demons lost
- Lost H1 31-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H1 2:11 (win probability 56% → 96% for the home side).
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels | 13–0 | H1 2:11 | 56% → 96% |
| Northwestern State Demons | 11–0 | H2 14:23 | 90% → 40% |
| Nicholls Colonels | 8–0 | H2 3:37 | 38% → 97% |