App State Mountaineers 57, Texas State Bobcats 60
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-27 · Winner: Texas State Bobcats
Texas State Bobcats defeated App State Mountaineers 60–57 on 2026-02-27 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 12:57 swung win probability 41% → 87%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why App State Mountaineers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 33 | 24 | 57 |
| Texas State Bobcats | 34 | 26 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 12:57 swung win probability 41% → 87%.
Why App State Mountaineers lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 12:57 (win probability 41% → 87% for the home side).
- Shot 39.5% eFG vs a 51.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 13-9.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 11–0 | H1 16:14 | 69% → 29% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 9–0 | H2 12:57 | 41% → 87% |