Southern Miss Golden Eagles 84, Arkansas State Red Wolves 89
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-24 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Southern Miss Golden Eagles 89–84 on 2026-02-24 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 0:16 swung win probability 5% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Miss Golden Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 44 | 40 | 84 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 53 | 36 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 0:16 swung win probability 5% → 100%.
Why Southern Miss Golden Eagles lost
- Lost H1 44-53 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 0:16 (win probability 5% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 36-11 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-13.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | H1 16:40 | 40% → 69% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | H1 5:34 | 64% → 90% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 9–0 | H2 0:16 | 5% → 100% |