Arkansas State Red Wolves 102, UL Monroe Warhawks 94
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated UL Monroe Warhawks 102–94 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 10:08 swung win probability 44% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UL Monroe Warhawks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 56 | 46 | 102 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 49 | 45 | 94 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 10:08 swung win probability 44% → 2%.
Why UL Monroe Warhawks lost
- Lost H1 49-56 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 10:08 (win probability 44% → 2% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | H1 17:25 | 62% → 33% |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 8–0 | H1 16:01 | 33% → 62% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 9–0 | H1 6:48 | 43% → 12% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 10–0 | H2 10:08 | 44% → 2% |