Troy Trojans 54, South Alabama Jaguars 65
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars defeated Troy Trojans 65–54 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 4:02 swung win probability 36% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Troy Trojans lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | 26 | 28 | 54 |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 33 | 32 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 4:02 swung win probability 36% → 98%.
Why Troy Trojans lost
- Lost H1 26-33 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 3:24 (win probability 64% → 91% for the home side).
- Shot 34.0% eFG vs a 52.2% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 8–0 | H1 3:24 | 64% → 91% |
| Troy Trojans | 8–0 | H2 16:42 | 94% → 69% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 8–0 | H2 4:02 | 36% → 98% |