Arkansas State Red Wolves 79, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 62
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 79–62 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Men's play, a 17-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 16:44 swung win probability 55% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 36 | 43 | 79 |
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 33 | 29 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 16:44 swung win probability 55% → 84%.
Why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost
- Lost H2 29-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 6:04 (win probability 24% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 36.5% eFG vs a 47.1% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 20-8 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 9–0 | H1 16:44 | 55% → 84% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | H2 6:04 | 24% → 0% |