Georgia Southern Eagles 64, Georgia State Panthers 66
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Georgia State Panthers
Georgia State Panthers defeated Georgia Southern Eagles 66–64 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 10:01 swung win probability 90% → 35%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Georgia Southern Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern Eagles | 27 | 37 | 64 |
| Georgia State Panthers | 37 | 29 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 10:01 swung win probability 90% → 35%.
Why Georgia Southern Eagles lost
- Lost H1 27-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 1:49 (win probability 64% → 93% for the home side).
- Shot 41.5% eFG vs a 52.0% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 18-10 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers | 9–0 | H1 1:49 | 64% → 93% |
| Georgia Southern Eagles | 8–0 | H2 15:35 | 96% → 74% |
| Georgia Southern Eagles | 10–0 | H2 10:01 | 90% → 35% |