South Alabama Jaguars 84, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars defeated Southern Miss Golden Eagles 84–78 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 7:12 swung win probability 40% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Miss Golden Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 42 | 42 | 84 |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 36 | 42 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 7:12 swung win probability 40% → 10%.
Why Southern Miss Golden Eagles lost
- Lost H1 36-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 13:37 (win probability 26% → 1% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-10.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 9–0 | H1 7:12 | 40% → 10% |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 9–0 | H1 4:43 | 10% → 37% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 10–0 | H2 13:37 | 26% → 1% |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 9–0 | H2 9:09 | 0% → 8% |