Georgia State Panthers 79, James Madison Dukes 81
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: James Madison Dukes
James Madison Dukes defeated Georgia State Panthers 81–79 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 13-0 road team run ending at H2 8:51 swung win probability 96% → 45%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Georgia State Panthers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers | 33 | 37 | 9 | 79 |
| James Madison Dukes | 41 | 29 | 11 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 road team run ending at H2 8:51 swung win probability 96% → 45%.
Why Georgia State Panthers lost
- Lost H1 33-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 0:03 (win probability 56% → 88% for the home side).
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 9–0 | H1 0:03 | 56% → 88% |
| Georgia State Panthers | 13–0 | H2 8:51 | 96% → 45% |