Marshall Thundering Herd 81, Old Dominion Monarchs 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-11 · Winner: Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall Thundering Herd defeated Old Dominion Monarchs 81–79 on 2026-02-11 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 1:08 swung win probability 89% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Old Dominion Monarchs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 34 | 47 | 81 |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 47 | 32 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 1:08 swung win probability 89% → 0%.
Why Old Dominion Monarchs lost
- Lost H2 32-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 7:10 (win probability 99% → 64% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 8–0 | H1 12:24 | 61% → 86% |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 9–0 | H1 6:51 | 79% → 97% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 10–0 | H2 7:10 | 99% → 64% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 8–0 | H2 1:08 | 89% → 0% |