South Alabama Jaguars 57, App State Mountaineers 65
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-04 · Winner: App State Mountaineers
App State Mountaineers defeated South Alabama Jaguars 65–57 on 2026-02-04 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 1:55 swung win probability 51% → 89%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Alabama Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 23 | 34 | 57 |
| App State Mountaineers | 29 | 36 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 1:55 swung win probability 51% → 89%.
Why South Alabama Jaguars lost
- Lost H1 23-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 1:55 (win probability 51% → 89% for the home side).
- Shot 44.4% eFG vs a 52.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 10–0 | H1 1:55 | 51% → 89% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 8–0 | H2 12:07 | 93% → 63% |
| App State Mountaineers | 8–0 | H2 9:21 | 63% → 97% |
| App State Mountaineers | 8–0 | H2 0:36 | 68% → 100% |