Old Dominion Monarchs 64, Texas State Bobcats 81
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Texas State Bobcats
Texas State Bobcats defeated Old Dominion Monarchs 81–64 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 17-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 6:18 swung win probability 76% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Old Dominion Monarchs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 33 | 31 | 64 |
| Texas State Bobcats | 42 | 39 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 6:18 swung win probability 76% → 97%.
Why Old Dominion Monarchs lost
- Lost H1 33-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H2 15:44 (win probability 87% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 37.7% eFG vs a 50.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 14-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 10–0 | H1 6:18 | 76% → 97% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 13–0 | H2 15:44 | 87% → 100% |