Marshall Thundering Herd 70, Arkansas State Red Wolves 61
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall Thundering Herd defeated Arkansas State Red Wolves 70–61 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 14:55 swung win probability 47% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 41 | 29 | 70 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 38 | 23 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 14:55 swung win probability 47% → 10%.
Why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost
- Lost H2 23-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 14:55 (win probability 47% → 10% for the home side).
- Shot 38.8% eFG vs a 52.6% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 8–0 | H2 14:55 | 47% → 10% |