App State Mountaineers 66, Troy Trojans 44
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: App State Mountaineers
App State Mountaineers defeated Troy Trojans 66–44 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 22-point result. A 16-0 road team run ending at H1 4:14 swung win probability 72% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Troy Trojans lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 36 | 30 | 66 |
| Troy Trojans | 24 | 20 | 44 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 road team run ending at H1 4:14 swung win probability 72% → 10%.
Why Troy Trojans lost
- Lost H1 24-36 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at H1 4:14 (win probability 72% → 10% for the home side).
- Shot 36.4% eFG vs a 52.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 16–0 | H1 4:14 | 72% → 10% |
| App State Mountaineers | 9–0 | H2 12:07 | 30% → 1% |