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Arkansas State Red Wolves 81, Georgia State Panthers 82

NCAA Men's · 2026-01-24 · Winner: Georgia State Panthers

Georgia State Panthers defeated Arkansas State Red Wolves 82–81 on 2026-01-24 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 16-0 road team run ending at H1 15:33 swung win probability 66% → 13%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
Arkansas State Red Wolves364581
Georgia State Panthers384482

Win probability

Georgia State Panthers win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Georgia State Panthers) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 16-0 road team run ending at H1 15:33 swung win probability 66% → 13%.
Why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Arkansas State Red Wolves16–0H1 15:3366% → 13%

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