Arkansas State Red Wolves 85, Georgia Southern Eagles 68
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Georgia Southern Eagles 85–68 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Men's play, a 17-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at H2 16:15 swung win probability 38% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Georgia Southern Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 39 | 46 | 85 |
| Georgia Southern Eagles | 35 | 33 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at H2 16:15 swung win probability 38% → 2%.
Why Georgia Southern Eagles lost
- Lost H2 33-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 16:15 (win probability 38% → 2% for the home side).
- Shot 38.6% eFG vs a 52.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern Eagles | 9–0 | H1 11:26 | 38% → 72% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 12–0 | H2 16:15 | 38% → 2% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | H2 11:42 | 4% → 0% |