James Madison Dukes 72, Marshall Thundering Herd 77
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall Thundering Herd defeated James Madison Dukes 77–72 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 3:45 swung win probability 3% → 76%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why James Madison Dukes lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 32 | 40 | 72 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 36 | 41 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 3:45 swung win probability 3% → 76%.
Why James Madison Dukes lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 3:45 (win probability 3% → 76% for the home side).
- Shot 48.4% eFG vs a 52.9% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 23-13 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 8–0 | H1 3:44 | 86% → 55% |
| James Madison Dukes | 10–0 | H2 14:10 | 58% → 9% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 11–0 | H2 3:45 | 3% → 76% |