Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 54, Texas State Bobcats 59
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: Texas State Bobcats
Texas State Bobcats defeated Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 59–54 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 15:08 swung win probability 95% → 58%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 22 | 32 | 54 |
| Texas State Bobcats | 29 | 30 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 15:08 swung win probability 95% → 58%.
Why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost
- Lost H1 22-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 7:13 (win probability 63% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 42.7% eFG vs a 47.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 11–0 | H2 15:08 | 95% → 58% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 9–0 | H2 7:13 | 63% → 99% |