Old Dominion Monarchs 69, James Madison Dukes 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: James Madison Dukes
James Madison Dukes defeated Old Dominion Monarchs 70–69 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 0:02 swung win probability 0% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Old Dominion Monarchs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 44 | 25 | 69 |
| James Madison Dukes | 27 | 43 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 0:02 swung win probability 0% → 100%.
Why Old Dominion Monarchs lost
- Lost H2 25-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 0:02 (win probability 0% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 44.4% eFG vs a 50.8% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 18–0 | H1 10:02 | 69% → 8% |
| James Madison Dukes | 9–0 | H2 0:02 | 0% → 100% |