Marshall Thundering Herd 73, Georgia State Panthers 81
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Georgia State Panthers
Georgia State Panthers defeated Marshall Thundering Herd 81–73 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 2:23 swung win probability 4% → 89%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Marshall Thundering Herd lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 38 | 35 | 73 |
| Georgia State Panthers | 38 | 43 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 2:23 swung win probability 4% → 89%.
Why Marshall Thundering Herd lost
- Lost H2 35-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 2:23 (win probability 4% → 89% for the home side).
- Shot 49.2% eFG vs a 55.1% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 33-13 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 8–0 | H1 15:06 | 81% → 54% |
| Georgia State Panthers | 9–0 | H1 0:46 | 27% → 68% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 11–0 | H2 14:52 | 78% → 20% |
| Georgia State Panthers | 11–0 | H2 2:23 | 4% → 89% |