Texas State Bobcats 70, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Southern Miss Golden Eagles defeated Texas State Bobcats 80–70 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at OT 0:44 swung win probability 54% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Texas State Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 28 | 37 | 5 | 70 |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 29 | 36 | 15 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at OT 0:44 swung win probability 54% → 100%.
Why Texas State Bobcats lost
- Lost OT 5-15 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at OT 0:44 (win probability 54% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 44.4% eFG vs a 50.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 8–0 | H1 14:12 | 72% → 44% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 8–0 | H2 16:47 | 72% → 35% |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 11–0 | OT 0:44 | 54% → 100% |