App State Mountaineers 81, Marshall Thundering Herd 88
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall Thundering Herd defeated App State Mountaineers 88–81 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 9:58 swung win probability 100% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why App State Mountaineers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 32 | 49 | 81 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 44 | 44 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 9:58 swung win probability 100% → 90%.
Why App State Mountaineers lost
- Lost H1 32-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 10–0 | H2 9:58 | 100% → 90% |