Texas State Bobcats 80, Troy Trojans 100
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Troy Trojans
Troy Trojans defeated Texas State Bobcats 100–80 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 20-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at H1 9:13 swung win probability 54% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Texas State Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 33 | 47 | 80 |
| Troy Trojans | 45 | 55 | 100 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at H1 9:13 swung win probability 54% → 94%.
Why Texas State Bobcats lost
- Lost H1 33-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H1 9:13 (win probability 54% → 94% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 13-8.
- Outscored 20-9 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | 14–0 | H1 9:13 | 54% → 94% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 8–0 | H1 6:34 | 95% → 79% |
| Troy Trojans | 11–0 | H2 0:04 | 100% → 100% |