South Alabama Jaguars 63, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 58
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars defeated Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 63–58 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 0:07 swung win probability 97% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 31 | 32 | 63 |
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 30 | 28 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 0:07 swung win probability 97% → 0%.
Why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 0:07 (win probability 97% → 0% for the home side).
- Outscored 17-5 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 9–0 | H2 0:07 | 97% → 0% |