Georgia State Panthers 80, Marshall Thundering Herd 84
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall Thundering Herd defeated Georgia State Panthers 84–80 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 8:29 swung win probability 23% → 77%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Georgia State Panthers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers | 35 | 45 | 80 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 33 | 51 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 8:29 swung win probability 23% → 77%.
Why Georgia State Panthers lost
- Lost H2 45-51 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 12:44 (win probability 75% → 94% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 9–0 | H1 12:44 | 75% → 94% |
| Georgia State Panthers | 11–0 | H1 6:36 | 94% → 64% |
| Georgia State Panthers | 9–0 | H2 14:23 | 73% → 24% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 8–0 | H2 8:29 | 23% → 77% |