Marshall Thundering Herd 63, Troy Trojans 70
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Troy Trojans
Troy Trojans defeated Marshall Thundering Herd 70–63 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 14:08 swung win probability 59% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Marshall Thundering Herd lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 32 | 31 | 63 |
| Troy Trojans | 36 | 34 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 14:08 swung win probability 59% → 92%.
Why Marshall Thundering Herd lost
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H2 16:09 (win probability 73% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 41.5% eFG vs a 55.1% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 19-9 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | 12–0 | H1 14:08 | 59% → 92% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 8–0 | H1 7:10 | 85% → 56% |
| Troy Trojans | 13–0 | H2 16:09 | 73% → 99% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 8–0 | H2 12:31 | 99% → 91% |