South Alabama Jaguars 65, Texas State Bobcats 67
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Texas State Bobcats
Texas State Bobcats defeated South Alabama Jaguars 67–65 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 1:32 swung win probability 36% → 8%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Alabama Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 39 | 26 | 65 |
| Texas State Bobcats | 25 | 42 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 1:32 swung win probability 36% → 8%.
Why South Alabama Jaguars lost
- Lost H2 26-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 9:24 (win probability 3% → 27% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-6.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 8–0 | H1 1:32 | 36% → 8% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 9–0 | H2 9:24 | 3% → 27% |