Arkansas State Red Wolves 93, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 86
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Southern Miss Golden Eagles 93–86 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 10:54 swung win probability 69% → 11%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Miss Golden Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 39 | 54 | 93 |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 32 | 54 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 10:54 swung win probability 69% → 11%.
Why Southern Miss Golden Eagles lost
- Lost H1 32-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 4:44 (win probability 69% → 25% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-8.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 10–0 | H1 4:44 | 69% → 25% |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 13–0 | H2 17:05 | 8% → 58% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 10–0 | H2 10:54 | 69% → 11% |