South Alabama Jaguars 96, UL Monroe Warhawks 92
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars defeated UL Monroe Warhawks 96–92 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 16-0 road team run ending at OT 4:39 swung win probability 99% → 42%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UL Monroe Warhawks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | OT2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 27 | 44 | 13 | 12 | 96 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 45 | 26 | 13 | 8 | 92 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 road team run ending at OT 4:39 swung win probability 99% → 42%.
Why UL Monroe Warhawks lost
- Lost H2 26-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at OT 4:39 (win probability 99% → 42% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 24-17.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 12–0 | H1 11:05 | 49% → 85% |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 13–0 | H1 3:46 | 72% → 97% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 16–0 | OT 4:39 | 99% → 42% |