Arkansas State Red Wolves 89, Texas State Bobcats 70
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Texas State Bobcats 89–70 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 19-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 1:14 swung win probability 0% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Texas State Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 41 | 48 | 89 |
| Texas State Bobcats | 32 | 38 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 1:14 swung win probability 0% → 0%.
Why Texas State Bobcats lost
- Lost H2 38-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 1:14 (win probability 0% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 44.4% eFG vs a 50.9% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 9–0 | H2 1:14 | 0% → 0% |