Sacramento State Hornets 79, Northern Colorado Bears 95
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Northern Colorado Bears
Northern Colorado Bears defeated Sacramento State Hornets 95–79 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 16-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 11:39 swung win probability 99% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 37 | 42 | 79 |
| Northern Colorado Bears | 51 | 44 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 11:39 swung win probability 99% → 91%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Lost H1 37-51 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 3:01 (win probability 99% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 41.4% eFG vs a 48.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 8–0 | H2 11:39 | 99% → 91% |
| Northern Colorado Bears | 8–0 | H2 3:01 | 99% → 100% |