Northern Colorado Bears 89, Sacramento State Hornets 93
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Sacramento State Hornets
Sacramento State Hornets defeated Northern Colorado Bears 93–89 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 2:15 swung win probability 11% → 64%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Colorado Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Colorado Bears | 43 | 39 | 7 | 89 |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 31 | 51 | 11 | 93 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 2:15 swung win probability 11% → 64%.
Why Northern Colorado Bears lost
- Lost H2 39-51 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 7:08 (win probability 1% → 16% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 14-8.
- Outscored 25-11 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-8.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Colorado Bears | 11–0 | H1 8:10 | 54% → 16% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 11–0 | H2 7:08 | 1% → 16% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 8–0 | H2 2:15 | 11% → 64% |