Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 77, Northern Colorado Bears 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Northern Colorado Bears
Northern Colorado Bears defeated Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 78–77 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 1:24 swung win probability 91% → 59%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 41 | 36 | 77 |
| Northern Colorado Bears | 43 | 35 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 1:24 swung win probability 91% → 59%.
Why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 3:09 (win probability 64% → 91% for the home side).
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Colorado Bears | 8–0 | H1 3:09 | 64% → 91% |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 9–0 | H1 1:24 | 91% → 59% |