Sacramento State Hornets 74, Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks defeated Sacramento State Hornets 79–74 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at H1 5:48 swung win probability 78% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 25 | 49 | 74 |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 38 | 41 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at H1 5:48 swung win probability 78% → 99%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Lost H1 25-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at H1 5:48 (win probability 78% → 99% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 15–0 | H1 5:48 | 78% → 99% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 9–0 | H2 15:20 | 99% → 92% |