Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 69, Sacramento State Hornets 83
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Sacramento State Hornets
Sacramento State Hornets defeated Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 83–69 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Men's play, a 14-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at H2 14:06 swung win probability 10% → 80%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 39 | 30 | 69 |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 34 | 49 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at H2 14:06 swung win probability 10% → 80%.
Why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost
- Lost H2 30-49 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H2 14:06 (win probability 10% → 80% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 13-7.
- Outscored 18-10 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 10–0 | H1 9:33 | 76% → 35% |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 8–0 | H2 18:57 | 68% → 27% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 14–0 | H2 14:06 | 10% → 80% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 9–0 | H2 4:42 | 90% → 100% |