Montana State Bobcats 76, Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 65
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-02 · Winner: Montana State Bobcats
Montana State Bobcats defeated Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 76–65 on 2026-03-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H1 13:36 swung win probability 62% → 21%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 36 | 40 | 76 |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 25 | 40 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H1 13:36 swung win probability 62% → 21%.
Why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost
- Lost H1 25-36 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at H2 11:39 (win probability 25% → 0% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 11–0 | H1 13:36 | 62% → 21% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 8–0 | H1 4:55 | 24% → 4% |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 11–0 | H2 18:39 | 4% → 32% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 16–0 | H2 11:39 | 25% → 0% |