Sacramento State Hornets 61, Montana State Bobcats 82
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Montana State Bobcats
Montana State Bobcats defeated Sacramento State Hornets 82–61 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 21-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 8:48 swung win probability 76% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 33 | 28 | 61 |
| Montana State Bobcats | 37 | 45 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 8:48 swung win probability 76% → 97%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Lost H2 28-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 8:48 (win probability 76% → 97% for the home side).
- Shot 41.7% eFG vs a 48.2% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-4.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 11–0 | H1 8:48 | 76% → 97% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 8–0 | H2 10:39 | 91% → 100% |