Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 68, Montana State Bobcats 77
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Montana State Bobcats
Montana State Bobcats defeated Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 77–68 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 8:27 swung win probability 61% → 87%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 35 | 33 | 68 |
| Montana State Bobcats | 43 | 34 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 8:27 swung win probability 61% → 87%.
Why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost
- Lost H1 35-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 8:27 (win probability 61% → 87% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 8–0 | H1 8:27 | 61% → 87% |