Northern Colorado Bears 75, Montana State Bobcats 89
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: Montana State Bobcats
Montana State Bobcats defeated Northern Colorado Bears 89–75 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Men's play, a 14-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at H1 10:13 swung win probability 50% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Colorado Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Colorado Bears | 33 | 42 | 75 |
| Montana State Bobcats | 39 | 50 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at H1 10:13 swung win probability 50% → 92%.
Why Northern Colorado Bears lost
- Lost H2 42-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H1 10:13 (win probability 50% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 49.2% eFG vs a 56.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 13-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 9–0 | H1 18:04 | 55% → 83% |
| Northern Colorado Bears | 10–0 | H1 14:25 | 83% → 50% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 14–0 | H1 10:13 | 50% → 92% |
| Northern Colorado Bears | 8–0 | H2 18:29 | 90% → 58% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 9–0 | H2 1:06 | 100% → 100% |