Idaho State Bengals 65, Sacramento State Hornets 83
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-02 · Winner: Sacramento State Hornets
Sacramento State Hornets defeated Idaho State Bengals 83–65 on 2026-03-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 18-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 0:40 swung win probability 88% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Idaho State Bengals lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State Bengals | 29 | 36 | 65 |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 46 | 37 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 0:40 swung win probability 88% → 100%.
Why Idaho State Bengals lost
- Lost H1 29-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 0:40 (win probability 88% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 43.1% eFG vs a 52.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 12–0 | H1 0:40 | 88% → 100% |
| Idaho State Bengals | 9–0 | H2 9:21 | 100% → 100% |