Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 58, Idaho Vandals 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-26 · Winner: Idaho Vandals
Idaho Vandals defeated Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 78–58 on 2026-02-26 in NCAA Men's play, a 20-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 10:34 swung win probability 58% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 29 | 29 | 58 |
| Idaho Vandals | 37 | 41 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 10:34 swung win probability 58% → 84%.
Why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost
- Lost H2 29-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 14:46 (win probability 92% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 45.2% eFG vs a 53.3% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Vandals | 8–0 | H1 10:34 | 58% → 84% |
| Idaho Vandals | 10–0 | H2 14:46 | 92% → 100% |