Idaho Vandals 86, Sacramento State Hornets 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Idaho Vandals
Idaho Vandals defeated Sacramento State Hornets 86–80 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 14:40 swung win probability 58% → 22%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Vandals | 42 | 44 | 86 |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 40 | 40 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 14:40 swung win probability 58% → 22%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 14:40 (win probability 58% → 22% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-5.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Vandals | 10–0 | H1 14:40 | 58% → 22% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 10–0 | H1 11:26 | 22% → 57% |