Sacramento State Hornets 76, Idaho Vandals 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: Idaho Vandals
Idaho Vandals defeated Sacramento State Hornets 86–76 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 8:02 swung win probability 53% → 89%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 38 | 38 | 76 |
| Idaho Vandals | 53 | 33 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 8:02 swung win probability 53% → 89%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Lost H1 38-53 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 8:02 (win probability 53% → 89% for the home side).
- Shot 41.5% eFG vs a 48.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Vandals | 11–0 | H1 8:02 | 53% → 89% |
| Idaho Vandals | 9–0 | H1 0:55 | 89% → 99% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 12–0 | H2 16:31 | 99% → 82% |