Vanderbilt Commodores 80, Missouri Tigers 81
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-18 · Winner: Missouri Tigers
Missouri Tigers defeated Vanderbilt Commodores 81–80 on 2026-02-18 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 11:57 swung win probability 42% → 72%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Vanderbilt Commodores lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 30 | 50 | 80 |
| Missouri Tigers | 36 | 45 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 11:57 swung win probability 42% → 72%.
Why Vanderbilt Commodores lost
- Lost H1 30-36 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 15:25 (win probability 77% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 50.8% eFG vs a 55.3% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 25-14 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Tigers | 8–0 | H1 11:57 | 42% → 72% |
| Missouri Tigers | 10–0 | H2 15:25 | 77% → 99% |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 9–0 | H2 6:44 | 100% → 99% |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 8–0 | H2 2:26 | 100% → 94% |