Mississippi State Bulldogs 79, Missouri Tigers 84
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Missouri Tigers
Missouri Tigers defeated Mississippi State Bulldogs 84–79 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 8:46 swung win probability 89% → 56%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mississippi State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 35 | 44 | 79 |
| Missouri Tigers | 42 | 42 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 8:46 swung win probability 89% → 56%.
Why Mississippi State Bulldogs lost
- Lost H1 35-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 16:20 (win probability 66% → 88% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 14-10.
- Outscored 25-12 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Tigers | 8–0 | H1 16:20 | 66% → 88% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 10–0 | H1 8:46 | 89% → 56% |