Alabama Crimson Tide 97, Mississippi State Bulldogs 82
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-13 · Winner: Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide defeated Mississippi State Bulldogs 97–82 on 2026-01-13 in NCAA Men's play, a 15-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at H2 17:34 swung win probability 54% → 6%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mississippi State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 36 | 61 | 97 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 34 | 48 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at H2 17:34 swung win probability 54% → 6%.
Why Mississippi State Bulldogs lost
- Lost H2 48-61 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 17:34 (win probability 54% → 6% for the home side).
- Shot 42.8% eFG vs a 51.5% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 27-17 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 8–0 | H1 2:38 | 88% → 59% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 12–0 | H2 17:34 | 54% → 6% |