Mississippi State Bulldogs 101, Texas Longhorns 98
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs defeated Texas Longhorns 101–98 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at OT 4:48 swung win probability 95% → 34%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Texas Longhorns lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 48 | 38 | 15 | 101 |
| Texas Longhorns | 43 | 43 | 12 | 98 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at OT 4:48 swung win probability 95% → 34%.
Why Texas Longhorns lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 7:59 (win probability 72% → 38% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-12.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 9–0 | H1 7:59 | 72% → 38% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 9–0 | OT 4:48 | 95% → 34% |