Florida Gators 74, Missouri Tigers 76
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Missouri Tigers
Missouri Tigers defeated Florida Gators 76–74 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 3:37 swung win probability 98% → 42%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida Gators lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators | 39 | 35 | 74 |
| Missouri Tigers | 39 | 37 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 3:37 swung win probability 98% → 42%.
Why Florida Gators lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 18:26 (win probability 44% → 85% for the home side).
- Shot 46.8% eFG vs a 54.1% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Tigers | 9–0 | H2 18:26 | 44% → 85% |
| Florida Gators | 9–0 | H2 3:37 | 98% → 42% |