Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 70, North Florida Ospreys 76
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-26 · Winner: North Florida Ospreys
North Florida Ospreys defeated Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 76–70 on 2026-02-26 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 6:15 swung win probability 39% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida Gulf Coast Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 36 | 34 | 70 |
| North Florida Ospreys | 27 | 49 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 6:15 swung win probability 39% → 93%.
Why Florida Gulf Coast Eagles lost
- Lost H2 34-49 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 10:18 (win probability 34% → 72% for the home side).
- Shot 41.8% eFG vs a 51.8% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida Ospreys | 10–0 | H1 10:18 | 34% → 72% |
| North Florida Ospreys | 8–0 | H2 6:15 | 39% → 93% |