Central Arkansas Bears 93, Austin Peay Governors 88
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-25 · Winner: Central Arkansas Bears
Central Arkansas Bears defeated Austin Peay Governors 93–88 on 2026-02-25 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 4:59 swung win probability 97% → 44%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Austin Peay Governors lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Bears | 44 | 49 | 93 |
| Austin Peay Governors | 46 | 42 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 4:59 swung win probability 97% → 44%.
Why Austin Peay Governors lost
- Lost H2 42-49 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 3:51 (win probability 98% → 80% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 15-9.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Peay Governors | 8–0 | H1 17:34 | 52% → 78% |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 12–0 | H1 3:51 | 98% → 80% |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 9–0 | H2 4:59 | 97% → 44% |